Trinidad & Tobago: Balance of Payments Risk

Trinidad & Tobago: Balance of Payments Risk

This report takes a look at why T&T could be heading to default and a balance of payments crisis by end-2022. With a wide and growing fiscal deficit, higher debt, grossly overvalued TTD and other harmful FX policies...

COVID-19 Caribbean Economic Impact Report

COVID-19 Caribbean Economic Impact Report

Read our most recent scenarios given the severe interruptions to tourism from COVID-19 and the lower oil price environment for the Caribbean's commodity dependent countries. This report reviews: Caribbean implications of COVID-19, fiscal outlooks and risks,...

Getting it Right in T&T: Fiscal Responsibility

Getting it Right in T&T: Fiscal Responsibility

The persistently weak economy in Trinidad and Tobago is a product of fiscal and broader macroeconomic mismanagement under successive governments. Marla takes a look at how a fiscal responsibility framework can help put the country's economy on a sustainable path.

T&T Ratings Commentary: Q&A with Marla Dukharan

T&T Ratings Commentary: Q&A with Marla Dukharan

Moody’s released its Annual Credit Analysis on the Government of Trinidad and Tobago (GORTT) on June 28, 2019, followed by a FAQ on growth prospects, fiscal consolidation, and external risks on July 15, 2019. Moody’s has maintained its Ba1 (speculative/junk) rating on...

When a blacklist is, unfortunately, just that

When a blacklist is, unfortunately, just that

The European Union (EU) published its first blacklist of 17 countries in December 2017, and updated it in March 2019 to reflect 15 countries, including the OECD’s “Largely Compliant” territories of Aruba, Barbados, Belize and Bermuda. This report takes a deeper look...

T&T Outlook 2019: Another Year of Errors and Omissions

T&T Outlook 2019: Another Year of Errors and Omissions

Contrary to what the Government would like us to believe, the T&T economy is in anything but a recovery and has NOT turned around. This report takes a look at some common measures of socio-economic performance to see.

Eastern Caribbean Economic Report Nov 2018

Eastern Caribbean Economic Report Nov 2018

Marla reviews and analyzes recent development in the ECCU countries, offering insights into what is impacting growth, fiscal accounts, tourism, and projections for economic activity.